JTWC Issued: 0600 UTC 1 Jul 2026
The area of convection (invest 96W) previously located near 13.8N 121.2E is now located near 13.8N 120.1E, approximately 70 nm southwest of Manila, Philippines. Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery (EIR) depicts deep convection consolidating over the low-level circulation center (LLCC) with curved deep convective banding in the southern periphery. Environmental analysis for the area indicates a favorable environment for development once it moves over the South China Sea with warm sea surface temperatures (30-31c), low vertical wind shear (10-15kts), and good equatorward outflow aloft. Global models are in good agreement that 96W will rapidly intensify over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 23 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1005 mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high. See ref b (wtpn22 pgtw 302100 cor) for further details.