JTWC Issued: 1800 UTC 26 Oct 2025
The area of convection (invest 92A) previously located near 14.4N 66.3E is now located near 15.3N 66.8E, approximately 409 nm west-southwest of mumbai, India. Animated enhanced infrared imagery (EIR) depicts flaring convection along the western periphery dislocated from a poorly organized low level circulation center (LLCC). Environmental analysis for the area indicates favorable conditions for development with moderate vertical wind shear (15-20 kts), warm sea surface temperatures (28-29 c), and good radial outflow. Global deterministic and ensemble models are in agreement that 92A will continue on a northward track.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 23 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 998 mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.